Capital Metals (UK) Price Prediction
| CMET Stock | 1.65 0.05 3.12% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Capital Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capital Metals PLC from the perspective of Capital Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Capital Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Capital because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Capital Metals after-hype prediction price | GBX 1.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Capital |
Capital Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Capital Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capital Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capital Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Capital Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Capital Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capital Metals' historical news coverage. Capital Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 3.91, respectively. We have considered Capital Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Capital Metals is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capital Metals PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Capital Metals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capital Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capital Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capital Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 2.27 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.65 | 1.64 | 0.61 |
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Capital Metals Hype Timeline
Capital Metals PLC is currently traded for 1.65on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Capital is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.61%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Capital Metals is about 10682.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.65. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Capital Metals PLC had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Capital Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Capital Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Capital Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capital Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Capital Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capital Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0R9C | Cellnex Telecom SA | (0.43) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 2.27 | (2.97) | 13.74 | |
| ZEG | Zegona Communications Plc | (7.00) | 5 per month | 1.10 | 0.30 | 7.31 | (2.46) | 25.06 | |
| EEE | Empire Metals Limited | (0.15) | 5 per month | 3.07 | 0.26 | 6.53 | (4.57) | 19.39 | |
| AEO | Aeorema Communications Plc | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.13 | (3.51) | 9.54 | |
| 0IN3 | Jacquet Metal Service | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.93 | 0.17 | 3.48 | (2.87) | 12.24 | |
| 0HW4 | Charter Communications Cl | 8.16 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.68 | (2.96) | 11.78 | |
| 0GA3 | Telecom Italia SpA | 0.02 | 4 per month | 1.79 | 0.15 | 3.57 | (3.45) | 12.70 | |
| 0LO9 | AMG Advanced Metallurgical | (0.43) | 1 per month | 3.36 | 0.09 | 5.18 | (4.42) | 23.86 |
Capital Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Capital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Capital Metals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Capital Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Capital Metals PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capital Metals based on analysis of Capital Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Capital Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Capital Metals's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Capital Metals
The number of cover stories for Capital Metals depends on current market conditions and Capital Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capital Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capital Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Capital Metals Short Properties
Capital Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Capital Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capital Metals PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capital Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 344.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 M |
Additional Tools for Capital Stock Analysis
When running Capital Metals' price analysis, check to measure Capital Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Capital Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.