China Fund Price Prediction
| CHN Fund | USD 12.78 0.25 1.92% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using China Fund hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Fund from the perspective of China Fund response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Fund to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
China Fund after-hype prediction price | USD 12.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China Fund After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Fund at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Fund or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of China Fund, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Fund Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Fund's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Fund's historical news coverage. China Fund's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.98 and 14.58, respectively. We have considered China Fund's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Fund is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Fund Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as China Fund is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Fund backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Fund, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.78 | 12.78 | 0.00 |
|
China Fund Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of March China Fund is traded for 12.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. China is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on China Fund is about 23164.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.78. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Fund last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out China Fund Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.China Fund Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Fund's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Fund's future price movements. Getting to know how China Fund's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Fund may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
China Fund Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About China Fund Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of China Fund stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Fund based on analysis of China Fund hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Fund's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Fund's related companies.
Story Coverage note for China Fund
The number of cover stories for China Fund depends on current market conditions and China Fund's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Fund is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Fund's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in China Fund
China Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Fund security.
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities |