Bar Harbor Bankshares Stock Price Prediction
| BHB Stock | USD 30.34 0.83 2.81% |
Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.094 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.66 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.83 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.915 | Wall Street Target Price 35.5 |
Using Bar Harbor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bar Harbor Bankshares from the perspective of Bar Harbor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bar Harbor using Bar Harbor's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bar Harbor's stock price.
Bar Harbor Implied Volatility | 1.06 |
Bar Harbor's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bar Harbor Bankshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bar Harbor's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bar Harbor stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bar Harbor's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bar Harbor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bar Harbor after-hype prediction price | USD 30.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bar Harbor Bankshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0663% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Bar Harbor trading at USD 30.34, that is roughly USD 0.0201 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bar Harbor's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bar Harbor Bankshares options at the current volatility level of 1.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Bar |
Bar Harbor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bar Harbor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bar Harbor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bar Harbor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bar Harbor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bar Harbor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bar Harbor's historical news coverage. Bar Harbor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.29 and 32.13, respectively. We have considered Bar Harbor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bar Harbor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bar Harbor Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bar Harbor Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bar Harbor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bar Harbor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bar Harbor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.92 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.34 | 30.21 | 0.43 |
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Bar Harbor Hype Timeline
On the 16th of March 2025 Bar Harbor Bankshares is traded for 30.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Bar is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.43%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Bar Harbor is about 355.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.43. About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bar Harbor Bankshares last dividend was issued on the 20th of February 2025. The entity had 3:2 split on the 22nd of March 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Bar Harbor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bar Harbor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bar Harbor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bar Harbor's future price movements. Getting to know how Bar Harbor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bar Harbor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CAC | Camden National | 0.97 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.51 | (2.82) | 6.11 | |
| BMRC | Bank of Marin | 0.23 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 2.29 | (3.37) | 9.33 | |
| AROW | Arrow Financial | 0.23 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.48 | (3.05) | 7.78 | |
| AUBN | Auburn National Bancorporation | 0.69 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.75 | (2.95) | 9.06 | |
| FNLC | First Bancorp | 0.58 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.33 | (2.63) | 7.41 |
Bar Harbor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bar Harbor Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bar Harbor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bar Harbor Bankshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bar Harbor based on analysis of Bar Harbor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bar Harbor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bar Harbor's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0318 | 0.0373 | 0.0382 | 0.0268 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.23 | 2.96 | 2.47 | 2.35 |
Story Coverage note for Bar Harbor
The number of cover stories for Bar Harbor depends on current market conditions and Bar Harbor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bar Harbor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bar Harbor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bar Harbor Short Properties
Bar Harbor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bar Harbor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bar Harbor Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bar Harbor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bar Harbor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 555.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Bar Stock analysis
When running Bar Harbor's price analysis, check to measure Bar Harbor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bar Harbor is operating at the current time. Most of Bar Harbor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bar Harbor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bar Harbor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bar Harbor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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