Brown Forman Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 39.23 40.83 42.43 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 42.03 43.63 45.24 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 40.36 41.09 41.82 Details

Brown Forman After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Brown Forman Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Brown Forman Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.14	1.60	0.40	0.02	17 Events / Month	5 Events / Month	In about 17 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
40.89	41.29	0.98	56.14   Notes

Brown Forman Hype Timeline

Brown Forman is currently traded for 40.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Brown is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 41.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 56.14%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.98%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Brown Forman is about 1291.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.87. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.18 B. Net Income was 1.02 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.39 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 17 days. Check out Brown Forman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Brown Forman Related Hype Analysis

Brown Forman Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Brown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Brown Forman stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Brown Forman, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brown Forman based on analysis of Brown Forman hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Brown Forman depends on current market conditions and Brown Forman's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brown Forman is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brown Forman's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Brown Forman's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brown Forman's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brown Forman often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brown Forman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brown Forman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Brown Forman's price analysis, check to measure Brown Forman's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brown Forman is operating at the current time. Most of Brown Forman's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brown Forman's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brown Forman's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brown Forman to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.