Aston Bay Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| BAY Stock | CAD 0.07 0.01 7.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
32
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.93) |
Using Aston Bay hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aston Bay Holdings from the perspective of Aston Bay response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aston Bay to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aston because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aston Bay after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aston |
Aston Bay After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aston Bay at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aston Bay or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aston Bay, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aston Bay Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aston Bay's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aston Bay's historical news coverage. Aston Bay's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 5.75, respectively. We have considered Aston Bay's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aston Bay is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aston Bay Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aston Bay Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aston Bay is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aston Bay backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aston Bay, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 5.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.07 | 0.07 | 7.69 |
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Aston Bay Hype Timeline
Aston Bay Holdings is currently traded for 0.07on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aston is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 7.69%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.65%. The volatility of related hype on Aston Bay is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.07. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Aston Bay Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aston Bay Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aston Bay's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aston Bay's future price movements. Getting to know how Aston Bay's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aston Bay may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LAM | Laramide Resources | (0.02) | 1 per month | 3.06 | 0.09 | 12.00 | (5.56) | 22.74 | |
| CBG | Chibougamau Independent Mines | 0.02 | 2 per month | 2.37 | 0.06 | 9.09 | (7.14) | 24.36 | |
| AVU | Avrupa Minerals | 0.00 | 2 per month | 7.36 | 0.01 | 16.67 | (14.29) | 58.33 | |
| AWE | Thunderstruck Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.78 | 0.04 | 12.50 | (15.38) | 36.67 |
Aston Bay Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aston price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aston using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aston charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aston Bay Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aston Bay stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aston Bay Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aston Bay based on analysis of Aston Bay hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aston Bay's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aston Bay's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Aston Bay
The number of cover stories for Aston Bay depends on current market conditions and Aston Bay's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aston Bay is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aston Bay's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aston Bay Short Properties
Aston Bay's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aston Bay's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aston Bay Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aston Bay's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aston Bay's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 201 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 552.9 K |
Additional Tools for Aston Stock Analysis
When running Aston Bay's price analysis, check to measure Aston Bay's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aston Bay is operating at the current time. Most of Aston Bay's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aston Bay's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aston Bay's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aston Bay to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.