BAG Films (India) Price Prediction
| BAGFILMS | 11.55 0.34 2.86% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.333 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.144 |
Using BAG Films hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BAG Films and from the perspective of BAG Films response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BAG Films to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BAG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BAG Films after-hype prediction price | INR 11.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BAG |
BAG Films After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BAG Films at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BAG Films or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BAG Films, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BAG Films Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BAG Films' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BAG Films' historical news coverage. BAG Films' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.83 and 15.67, respectively. We have considered BAG Films' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BAG Films is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BAG Films is based on 3 months time horizon.
BAG Films Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BAG Films is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BAG Films backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BAG Films, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 3.92 | 0.20 | 0.48 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.55 | 11.75 | 1.73 |
|
BAG Films Hype Timeline
BAG Films is currently traded for 11.55on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.48. BAG is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.73%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on BAG Films is about 194.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.03. The company reported the revenue of 1.32 B. Net Income was 39.83 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.01 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out BAG Films Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BAG Films Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BAG Films' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BAG Films' future price movements. Getting to know how BAG Films' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BAG Films may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GANGOTRI | Gangotri Textiles Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.60 | (5.13) | 9.85 | |
| HEMIPROP | Hemisphere Properties India | (2.62) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.05 | (3.65) | 13.08 | |
| KINGFA | Kingfa Science Technology | 0.65 | 3 per month | 1.84 | 0 | 3.98 | (3.65) | 8.70 | |
| RICOAUTO | Rico Auto Industries | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.21 | (4.52) | 9.85 | |
| GATECHDVR | GACM Technologies Limited | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.08 | (5.56) | 12.29 | |
| COSMOFIRST | COSMO FIRST LIMITED | (12.20) | 3 per month | 2.01 | 0.11 | 5.20 | (3.84) | 16.21 | |
| DELTAMAGNT | Delta Manufacturing Limited | 7.09 | 2 per month | 2.33 | 0.06 | 7.69 | (4.49) | 19.73 | |
| TBZ | Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri | 24.32 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.65 | (5.61) | 17.64 | |
| PARAGMILK | Parag Milk Foods | 1.82 | 3 per month | 2.53 | 0.05 | 5.30 | (4.75) | 12.83 | |
| HEUBACHIND | Heubach Colorants India | 1.10 | 1 per month | 3.09 | (0) | 4.20 | (1.87) | 28.13 |
BAG Films Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BAG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BAG using various technical indicators. When you analyze BAG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BAG Films Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BAG Films stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BAG Films and, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BAG Films based on analysis of BAG Films hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BAG Films's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BAG Films's related companies.
Story Coverage note for BAG Films
The number of cover stories for BAG Films depends on current market conditions and BAG Films' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BAG Films is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BAG Films' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
BAG Films Short Properties
BAG Films' future price predictability will typically decrease when BAG Films' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BAG Films and often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BAG Films' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BAG Films' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 232.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 101.1 M |
Other Information on Investing in BAG Stock
BAG Films financial ratios help investors to determine whether BAG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BAG with respect to the benefits of owning BAG Films security.