Aygaz AS (Turkey) Price Prediction
| AYGAZ Stock | TRY 144.50 0.60 0.41% |
Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aygaz AS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aygaz AS from the perspective of Aygaz AS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aygaz AS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aygaz because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aygaz AS after-hype prediction price | TRY 144.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aygaz |
Aygaz AS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aygaz AS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aygaz AS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aygaz AS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aygaz AS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aygaz AS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aygaz AS's historical news coverage. Aygaz AS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 142.78 and 146.22, respectively. We have considered Aygaz AS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aygaz AS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aygaz AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aygaz AS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aygaz AS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aygaz AS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aygaz AS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
144.50 | 144.50 | 0.00 |
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Aygaz AS Hype Timeline
Aygaz AS is presently traded for 144.50on Istanbul Stock Exchange of Turkey. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aygaz is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aygaz AS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 144.50. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Aygaz AS was presently reported as 24.18. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.4. Aygaz AS recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.32. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of April 2022. The firm had 1:1000 split on the 3rd of January 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Aygaz AS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aygaz AS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aygaz AS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aygaz AS's future price movements. Getting to know how Aygaz AS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aygaz AS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TUPRS | Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.49 | (2.06) | 6.34 | |
| AKSA | Aksa Akrilik Kimya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.86 | 0.19 | 5.27 | (3.55) | 12.42 | |
| ARCLK | Arcelik AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.34 | (3.27) | 7.38 | |
| TOASO | Tofas Turk Otomobil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.00 | 0.04 | 3.46 | (3.24) | 10.80 | |
| FROTO | Ford Otomotiv Sanayi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.90 | (2.12) | 7.97 |
Aygaz AS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aygaz price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aygaz using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aygaz charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aygaz AS Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aygaz AS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aygaz AS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aygaz AS based on analysis of Aygaz AS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aygaz AS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aygaz AS's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Aygaz AS
The number of cover stories for Aygaz AS depends on current market conditions and Aygaz AS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aygaz AS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aygaz AS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aygaz AS Short Properties
Aygaz AS's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aygaz AS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aygaz AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aygaz AS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aygaz AS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 219.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -149.9 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 2.8 B |
Complementary Tools for Aygaz Stock analysis
When running Aygaz AS's price analysis, check to measure Aygaz AS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aygaz AS is operating at the current time. Most of Aygaz AS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aygaz AS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aygaz AS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aygaz AS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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