Axfood AB (Germany) Price Prediction

AXL1 Stock  EUR 20.43  0.51  2.56%   
As of 22nd of December 2024, the value of RSI of Axfood AB's share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Axfood AB, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Axfood AB's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Axfood AB and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Axfood AB's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Axfood AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Axfood AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axfood AB from the perspective of Axfood AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Axfood AB to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Axfood because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Axfood AB after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 20.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Axfood AB Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.1519.0520.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.2320.1222.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.6220.1620.70
Details

Axfood AB After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Axfood AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Axfood AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Axfood AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Axfood AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Axfood AB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Axfood AB's historical news coverage. Axfood AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.53 and 22.33, respectively. We have considered Axfood AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.43
20.43
After-hype Price
22.33
Upside
Axfood AB is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Axfood AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

Axfood AB Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Axfood AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axfood AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Axfood AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
1.90
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.43
20.43
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Axfood AB Hype Timeline

Axfood AB is presently traded for 20.43on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Axfood is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Axfood AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.43. About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 23rd of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Axfood AB Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Axfood AB Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Axfood AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Axfood AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Axfood AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Axfood AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Axfood AB Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Axfood price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axfood using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axfood charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Axfood AB Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Axfood AB stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Axfood AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axfood AB based on analysis of Axfood AB hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Axfood AB's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Axfood AB's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Axfood AB

The number of cover stories for Axfood AB depends on current market conditions and Axfood AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Axfood AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Axfood AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Axfood AB Short Properties

Axfood AB's future price predictability will typically decrease when Axfood AB's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Axfood AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Axfood AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axfood AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding215.8 M

Complementary Tools for Axfood Stock analysis

When running Axfood AB's price analysis, check to measure Axfood AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axfood AB is operating at the current time. Most of Axfood AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axfood AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axfood AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axfood AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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