Applied Blockchain Stock Price Prediction
| APLD Stock | USD 9.58 0.08 0.83% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.96) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.79) | Wall Street Target Price 11.1429 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.29) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.671 |
Using Applied Blockchain hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Applied Blockchain from the perspective of Applied Blockchain response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Applied Blockchain to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Applied because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Applied Blockchain after-hype prediction price | USD 9.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Applied |
Applied Blockchain After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Applied Blockchain at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Applied Blockchain or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Applied Blockchain, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Applied Blockchain Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Applied Blockchain's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Applied Blockchain's historical news coverage. Applied Blockchain's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.45 and 20.87, respectively. We have considered Applied Blockchain's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Applied Blockchain is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Applied Blockchain is based on 3 months time horizon.
Applied Blockchain Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Applied Blockchain is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Applied Blockchain backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Applied Blockchain, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.08 | 11.81 | 0.52 | 0.73 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.58 | 9.06 | 5.43 |
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Applied Blockchain Hype Timeline
Applied Blockchain is presently traded for 9.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.52, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.73. Applied is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -5.43%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 2.08%. The volatility of related hype on Applied Blockchain is about 3345.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.31. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.23. Applied Blockchain had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:6 split on the 13th of April 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Applied Blockchain Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Applied Blockchain Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Applied Blockchain's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Applied Blockchain's future price movements. Getting to know how Applied Blockchain's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Applied Blockchain may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NOTE | FiscalNote Holdings | (0.05) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.00 | (6.38) | 18.73 | |
| INOD | Innodata | (1.13) | 8 per month | 4.24 | 0.12 | 9.36 | (7.93) | 90.24 | |
| IBM | International Business Machines | 3.60 | 8 per month | 1.28 | 0.07 | 2.22 | (1.70) | 8.66 | |
| BBAI | BigBearai Holdings | (0.14) | 12 per month | 4.49 | 0.07 | 11.36 | (7.85) | 28.29 | |
| CLPS | CLPS Inc | (0.05) | 6 per month | 3.33 | 0.01 | 8.59 | (6.03) | 24.69 | |
| ARBB | ARB IOT Group | 0.06 | 3 per month | 8.79 | 0.07 | 12.00 | (14.55) | 124.90 | |
| GDYN | Grid Dynamics Holdings | 0.30 | 10 per month | 2.20 | 0.15 | 5.35 | (4.27) | 14.75 | |
| HCKT | The Hackett Group | 1.20 | 7 per month | 0.94 | 0.08 | 2.61 | (1.80) | 19.63 | |
| G | Genpact Limited | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.82 | 0.10 | 2.64 | (1.63) | 11.64 | |
| NABL | N Able Inc | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.77 | (2.83) | 9.22 |
Applied Blockchain Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Applied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Applied Blockchain Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Applied Blockchain stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Applied Blockchain, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Applied Blockchain based on analysis of Applied Blockchain hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Applied Blockchain's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Applied Blockchain's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 1.28 | 0.82 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 33.89 | 32.2 |
Story Coverage note for Applied Blockchain
The number of cover stories for Applied Blockchain depends on current market conditions and Applied Blockchain's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Applied Blockchain is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Applied Blockchain's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Applied Blockchain Short Properties
Applied Blockchain's future price predictability will typically decrease when Applied Blockchain's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Applied Blockchain often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Applied Blockchain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Applied Blockchain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Applied Stock analysis
When running Applied Blockchain's price analysis, check to measure Applied Blockchain's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Blockchain is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Blockchain's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Blockchain's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Blockchain's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Blockchain to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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