Advanced Micro Devices Stock Price Prediction
| AMD Stock | USD 110.19 4.62 4.02% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9439 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.6732 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.2508 | Wall Street Target Price 146.2823 |
Using Advanced Micro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Advanced Micro Devices from the perspective of Advanced Micro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Advanced Micro using Advanced Micro's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Advanced using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Advanced Micro's stock price.
Advanced Micro Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Advanced Micro's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Advanced. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Advanced Micro stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 138.7558 | Short Percent 0.0347 | Short Ratio 1.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 47.8 M | 50 Day MA 110.1606 |
Advanced Micro Devices Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Advanced Micro's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Advanced. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Advanced can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Advanced Micro Devices. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Advanced Micro's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Advanced Micro.
Advanced Micro Implied Volatility | 0.67 |
Advanced Micro's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Advanced Micro Devices stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Advanced Micro's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Advanced Micro stock will not fluctuate a lot when Advanced Micro's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Advanced Micro to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Advanced because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Advanced Micro after-hype prediction price | USD 110.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Advanced contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Advanced Micro Devices will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0419% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Advanced Micro trading at USD 110.19, that is roughly USD 0.0461 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Advanced Micro's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Advanced Micro Devices options at the current volatility level of 0.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Advanced |
Advanced Micro After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Advanced Micro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Advanced Micro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Advanced Micro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Advanced Micro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Advanced Micro's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Advanced Micro's historical news coverage. Advanced Micro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 107.47 and 112.91, respectively. We have considered Advanced Micro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Advanced Micro is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Advanced Micro Devices is based on 3 months time horizon.
Advanced Micro Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Advanced Micro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Advanced Micro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Advanced Micro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.75 | 0.36 | 0.15 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
110.19 | 110.19 | 0.00 |
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Advanced Micro Hype Timeline
On the 27th of March Advanced Micro Devices is traded for 110.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Advanced is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 136.14%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Advanced Micro is about 320.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 110.34. About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Advanced Micro was presently reported as 35.49. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.45. Advanced Micro Devices last dividend was issued on the 27th of April 1995. The entity had 2:1 split on the 22nd of August 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Advanced Micro Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Advanced Micro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Advanced Micro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Advanced Micro's future price movements. Getting to know how Advanced Micro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Advanced Micro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | 2.62 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.06 | (4.55) | 18.80 | |
| INTC | Intel | (0.78) | 8 per month | 2.77 | 0.09 | 7.34 | (5.27) | 23.00 | |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology Group | 1.28 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.07 | (7.30) | 25.99 | |
| MU | Micron Technology | 1.24 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.23 | (6.33) | 22.15 | |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | 1.77 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.21 | (6.22) | 21.42 | |
| AVGO | Broadcom | (0.98) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.52 | (6.05) | 22.91 |
Advanced Micro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Advanced price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Advanced using various technical indicators. When you analyze Advanced charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Advanced Micro Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Advanced Micro stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Advanced Micro Devices, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Advanced Micro based on analysis of Advanced Micro hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Advanced Micro's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Advanced Micro's related companies. | 2016 | 2021 | 2022 | 2025 (projected) | |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 26.28 | 87.65 | 63.84 | 45.2 |
| PTB Ratio | 22.63 | 3.52 | 1.86 | 3.62 |
Story Coverage note for Advanced Micro
The number of cover stories for Advanced Micro depends on current market conditions and Advanced Micro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Advanced Micro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Advanced Micro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Advanced Micro Short Properties
Advanced Micro's future price predictability will typically decrease when Advanced Micro's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Advanced Micro Devices often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Advanced Micro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advanced Micro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.1 B |
Complementary Tools for Advanced Stock analysis
When running Advanced Micro's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Micro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Micro is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Micro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Micro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Micro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Micro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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