Alta Equipment Group Stock Price Prediction
| ALTG Stock | USD 5.29 0.39 7.96% |
Momentum 26
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.454 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.35) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.58) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.08 | Wall Street Target Price 11.775 |
Using Alta Equipment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alta Equipment Group from the perspective of Alta Equipment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alta Equipment using Alta Equipment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alta using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alta Equipment's stock price.
Alta Equipment Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Alta Equipment's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Alta. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Alta Equipment stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 7.2572 | Short Percent 0.0934 | Short Ratio 13.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 6.5064 |
Alta Equipment Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Alta Equipment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alta. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alta can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alta Equipment Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alta Equipment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alta Equipment.
Alta Equipment Implied Volatility | 1.34 |
Alta Equipment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alta Equipment Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alta Equipment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alta Equipment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alta Equipment's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alta Equipment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alta because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Alta Equipment after-hype prediction price | USD 5.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Alta contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Alta Equipment Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0838% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Alta Equipment trading at USD 5.29, that is roughly USD 0.00443 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Alta Equipment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Alta Equipment Group options at the current volatility level of 1.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Alta |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alta Equipment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alta Equipment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alta Equipment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alta Equipment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alta Equipment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alta Equipment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alta Equipment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alta Equipment's historical news coverage. Alta Equipment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.19 and 9.15, respectively. We have considered Alta Equipment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alta Equipment is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alta Equipment Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alta Equipment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alta Equipment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alta Equipment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alta Equipment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 3.98 | 0.12 | 0.40 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.29 | 5.17 | 2.27 |
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Alta Equipment Hype Timeline
Alta Equipment Group is presently traded for 5.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.4. Alta is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.27%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Alta Equipment is about 441.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.89. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Alta Equipment was presently reported as 2.37. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 211.67. Alta Equipment Group recorded a loss per share of 1.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Alta Equipment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Alta Equipment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alta Equipment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alta Equipment's future price movements. Getting to know how Alta Equipment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alta Equipment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRG | PROG Holdings | (0.32) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.65 | (5.06) | 31.87 | |
| GATX | GATX Corporation | 1.53 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 2.09 | (1.90) | 7.23 | |
| MGRC | McGrath RentCorp | (1.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0 | 2.75 | (2.53) | 7.16 | |
| CTOS | Custom Truck One | (0.36) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.46 | (5.54) | 23.60 | |
| MPU | Mega Matrix Corp | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 8.33 | (11.11) | 31.28 | |
| FTAIM | FTAI Aviation Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1.46 | (1.74) | 4.80 | |
| HEES | HE Equipment Services | 1.58 | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.1 | 1.53 | (3.61) | 107.70 | |
| AAN | The Aarons | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HRI | Herc Holdings | (9.34) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.26 | (6.75) | 17.97 |
Alta Equipment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Alta Equipment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Alta Equipment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alta Equipment Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alta Equipment based on analysis of Alta Equipment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alta Equipment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alta Equipment's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0158 | 0.0264 | 0.0498 | 0.0523 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.11 |
Story Coverage note for Alta Equipment
The number of cover stories for Alta Equipment depends on current market conditions and Alta Equipment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alta Equipment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alta Equipment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alta Equipment Short Properties
Alta Equipment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alta Equipment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alta Equipment Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alta Equipment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alta Equipment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Alta Stock analysis
When running Alta Equipment's price analysis, check to measure Alta Equipment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alta Equipment is operating at the current time. Most of Alta Equipment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alta Equipment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alta Equipment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alta Equipment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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