Anglo American (South Africa) Price Prediction

AGL Stock   55,468  732.00  1.30%   
The value of RSI of Anglo American's stock price is about 69. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Anglo, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Anglo American's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Anglo American and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Anglo American's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Anglo American PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Anglo American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Anglo American PLC from the perspective of Anglo American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Anglo American to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Anglo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Anglo American after-hype prediction price

    
  ZAC 55468.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Anglo American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45,94645,94861,015
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55,06355,06555,068
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55,04356,47857,913
Details

Anglo American After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Anglo American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Anglo American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Anglo American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Anglo American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Anglo American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Anglo American's historical news coverage. Anglo American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55,466 and 55,470, respectively. We have considered Anglo American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
55,468
55,466
Downside
55,468
After-hype Price
55,470
Upside
Anglo American is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Anglo American PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Anglo American Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Anglo American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Anglo American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Anglo American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
2.22
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55,468
55,468
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Anglo American Hype Timeline

Anglo American PLC is presently traded for 55,468on Johannesburg Exchange of South Africa. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Anglo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Anglo American is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55,468. About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.77. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Anglo American PLC recorded earning per share (EPS) of 102.55. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of August 2022. The firm had 91:100 split on the 2nd of July 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Anglo American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Anglo American Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Anglo American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Anglo American's future price movements. Getting to know how Anglo American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Anglo American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ARIAfrican Rainbow Minerals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.72 (3.36) 10.26 
JBLJubilee Platinum 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.76 (3.97) 14.01 
EUZEuropa Metals 0.00 0 per month 8.05  0.06  20.00 (12.70) 96.51 
SOLBE1Sasol Ltd Bee 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.00 (1.22) 15.13 
0P0000Z6BHCentaur Bci Balanced 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.84 (0.42) 2.53 
GRTGrowthpoint Properties 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.85 (1.56) 4.14 
0P000161AFCoronation Global Equity 0.00 0 per month 0.35  0.22  2.24 (0.87) 5.24 
ETFRHOAfricaRhodium ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.00 (3.81) 25.69 
PREFTXCoreShares Preference Share 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GLOBALCoreShares TotalWldStock ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.57  0.05  1.67 (1.15) 4.13 

Anglo American Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Anglo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Anglo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Anglo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Anglo American Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Anglo American stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Anglo American PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Anglo American based on analysis of Anglo American hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Anglo American's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Anglo American's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Anglo American

The number of cover stories for Anglo American depends on current market conditions and Anglo American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Anglo American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Anglo American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Anglo American Short Properties

Anglo American's future price predictability will typically decrease when Anglo American's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Anglo American PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Anglo American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anglo American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B

Complementary Tools for Anglo Stock analysis

When running Anglo American's price analysis, check to measure Anglo American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Anglo American is operating at the current time. Most of Anglo American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Anglo American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Anglo American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Anglo American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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