First Majestic Silver Stock Price Prediction
| AG Stock | 8.35 0.33 3.80% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.07 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.16) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3046 | Wall Street Target Price 10.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.02 |
Using First Majestic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Majestic Silver from the perspective of First Majestic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Majestic to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Majestic after-hype prediction price | CAD 8.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Majestic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Majestic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Majestic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Majestic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Majestic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Majestic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Majestic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Majestic's historical news coverage. First Majestic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.64 and 12.48, respectively. We have considered First Majestic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Majestic is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Majestic Silver is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Majestic Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Majestic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Majestic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Majestic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 3.95 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.35 | 8.56 | 1.38 |
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First Majestic Hype Timeline
First Majestic Silver is presently traded for 8.35on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. First is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -1.38%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on First Majestic is about 21269.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.34. About 43.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.36. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Majestic Silver recorded a loss per share of 0.36. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out First Majestic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Majestic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Majestic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Majestic's future price movements. Getting to know how First Majestic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Majestic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MMP-UN | Precious Metals And | (0.06) | 3 per month | 1.75 | (0.07) | 3.41 | (3.16) | 10.32 | |
| TBRD | Thunderbird Entertainment Group | (0.06) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.85 | (4.41) | 15.87 | |
| CNJ-P | CNJ Capital Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ABR | Arbor Metals Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.13 | (5.13) | 14.05 | |
| AI | Atrium Mortgage Investment | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.71 | (0.88) | 4.30 | |
| BIK-PA | Bip Investment Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | (0.05) | 1.14 | (1.18) | 5.32 | |
| OM | Osisko Metals | 0.02 | 3 per month | 3.33 | 0.02 | 9.09 | (7.69) | 22.90 |
First Majestic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Majestic Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Majestic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Majestic Silver, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Majestic based on analysis of First Majestic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Majestic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Majestic's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003136 | 0.003455 | 0.002142 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.49 | 2.95 | 2.8 |
Story Coverage note for First Majestic
The number of cover stories for First Majestic depends on current market conditions and First Majestic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Majestic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Majestic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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First Majestic Short Properties
First Majestic's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Majestic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Majestic Silver often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Majestic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Majestic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 282.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 188 M |
Check out First Majestic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.