Abrdn Emerging Markets Fund Price Prediction
| AEF Fund | USD 5.13 0.05 0.98% |
Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
Using Abrdn Emerging hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abrdn Emerging Markets from the perspective of Abrdn Emerging response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Abrdn Emerging to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Abrdn because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Abrdn Emerging after-hype prediction price | USD 5.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Abrdn |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Abrdn Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Abrdn Emerging After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Abrdn Emerging at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abrdn Emerging or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Abrdn Emerging, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Abrdn Emerging Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Abrdn Emerging's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abrdn Emerging's historical news coverage. Abrdn Emerging's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.94 and 6.32, respectively. We have considered Abrdn Emerging's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Abrdn Emerging is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Abrdn Emerging Markets is based on 3 months time horizon.
Abrdn Emerging Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Abrdn Emerging is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abrdn Emerging backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abrdn Emerging, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.13 | 5.13 | 0.00 |
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Abrdn Emerging Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 Abrdn Emerging Markets is traded for 5.13. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Abrdn is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Abrdn Emerging is about 39100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.13. About 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Abrdn Emerging Markets last dividend was issued on the 25th of March 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of July 1995. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Abrdn Emerging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Abrdn Emerging Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Abrdn Emerging's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abrdn Emerging's future price movements. Getting to know how Abrdn Emerging's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abrdn Emerging may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Abrdn Emerging Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Abrdn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abrdn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abrdn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Abrdn Emerging Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Abrdn Emerging stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Abrdn Emerging Markets, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Abrdn Emerging based on analysis of Abrdn Emerging hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Abrdn Emerging's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Abrdn Emerging's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Abrdn Emerging
The number of cover stories for Abrdn Emerging depends on current market conditions and Abrdn Emerging's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abrdn Emerging is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abrdn Emerging's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Abrdn Emerging Short Properties
Abrdn Emerging's future price predictability will typically decrease when Abrdn Emerging's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Abrdn Emerging Markets often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abrdn Emerging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abrdn Emerging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -19.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.6 |
Other Information on Investing in Abrdn Fund
Abrdn Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Abrdn Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Abrdn with respect to the benefits of owning Abrdn Emerging security.
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