Asseco Business (Poland) Price Prediction
| ABS Stock | 53.20 0.80 1.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Asseco Business hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Asseco Business Solutions from the perspective of Asseco Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Asseco Business to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Asseco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Asseco Business after-hype prediction price | PLN 53.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Asseco |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Asseco Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Asseco Business After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Asseco Business at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Asseco Business or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Asseco Business, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Asseco Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Asseco Business' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Asseco Business' historical news coverage. Asseco Business' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.50 and 54.90, respectively. We have considered Asseco Business' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Asseco Business is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Asseco Business Solutions is based on 3 months time horizon.
Asseco Business Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Asseco Business is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Asseco Business backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Asseco Business, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
53.20 | 53.20 | 0.00 |
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Asseco Business Hype Timeline
Asseco Business Solutions is presently traded for 53.20on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Asseco is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Asseco Business is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.20. About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Asseco Business was presently reported as 9.95. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Asseco Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Asseco Business Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Asseco Business' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Asseco Business' future price movements. Getting to know how Asseco Business' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Asseco Business may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BNP | BNP Paribas Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.86 | (3.76) | 7.67 | |
| CRM | PZ Cormay SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.08 | (2.22) | 10.51 | |
| GKI | Immobile | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.83 | (4.02) | 11.89 | |
| ALR | Alior Bank SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.50 | (3.88) | 12.06 | |
| GTC | Globe Trade Centre | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | (0) | 4.14 | (2.49) | 17.50 | |
| MIL | Bank Millennium SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.92 | (3.40) | 9.67 | |
| MBK | mBank SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.44 | (3.85) | 9.57 | |
| GRX | GreenX Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.98 | (4.62) | 35.53 |
Asseco Business Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Asseco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Asseco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Asseco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Asseco Business Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Asseco Business stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Asseco Business Solutions, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Asseco Business based on analysis of Asseco Business hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Asseco Business's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Asseco Business's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Asseco Business
The number of cover stories for Asseco Business depends on current market conditions and Asseco Business' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Asseco Business is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Asseco Business' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Asseco Business Short Properties
Asseco Business' future price predictability will typically decrease when Asseco Business' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Asseco Business Solutions often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Asseco Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asseco Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 42.8 M |
Additional Tools for Asseco Stock Analysis
When running Asseco Business' price analysis, check to measure Asseco Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asseco Business is operating at the current time. Most of Asseco Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asseco Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asseco Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asseco Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.