HMTNew Technical (China) Price Prediction

603306 Stock   31.61  0.61  1.89%   
As of 4th of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of HMTNew Technical's share price is at 58. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling HMTNew Technical, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of HMTNew Technical's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HMTNew Technical, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting HMTNew Technical's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Wall Street Target Price
53
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.009
Using HMTNew Technical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HMTNew Technical from the perspective of HMTNew Technical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HMTNew Technical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HMTNew because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

HMTNew Technical after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 32.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out HMTNew Technical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.1023.9934.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.0733.9638.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

HMTNew Technical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of HMTNew Technical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HMTNew Technical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HMTNew Technical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

HMTNew Technical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting HMTNew Technical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HMTNew Technical's historical news coverage. HMTNew Technical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.04 and 37.82, respectively. We have considered HMTNew Technical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.61
32.93
After-hype Price
37.82
Upside
HMTNew Technical is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HMTNew Technical is based on 3 months time horizon.

HMTNew Technical Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HMTNew Technical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HMTNew Technical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HMTNew Technical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.86 
4.89
  1.32 
  0.18 
6 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.61
32.93
4.18 
317.53  
Notes

HMTNew Technical Hype Timeline

HMTNew Technical is presently traded for 31.61on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. HMTNew is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 32.93 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 4.18%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.86%. The volatility of related hype on HMTNew Technical is about 2400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.79. HMTNew Technical generates positive cash flow from operations, but has no cash availableAssuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out HMTNew Technical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

HMTNew Technical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to HMTNew Technical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HMTNew Technical's future price movements. Getting to know how HMTNew Technical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HMTNew Technical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
000600Jointo Energy Investment 0.09 1 per month 2.15  0.04  3.70 (3.18) 16.89 
002338Changchun UP Optotech 0.71 1 per month 3.00  0.21  9.72 (6.63) 18.30 
300777Sinofibers Technology Co(0.84)1 per month 3.55  0.11  11.04 (4.44) 31.89 
600110Nuode Investment Co 0.13 2 per month 3.72  0.15  9.97 (8.37) 19.66 
002008HanS Laser Tech 1.54 2 per month 2.25  0.14  6.16 (4.15) 16.03 
000638Vanfund Urban Investment 0.00 0 per month 2.80  0.23  6.42 (4.38) 18.86 
000548Hunan Investment Group 0.00 3 per month 2.33  0.18  7.00 (2.68) 19.83 
000809Tieling Newcity Investment 0.00 0 per month 1.42  0.17  4.41 (2.24) 9.87 

HMTNew Technical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HMTNew price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HMTNew using various technical indicators. When you analyze HMTNew charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About HMTNew Technical Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of HMTNew Technical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HMTNew Technical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HMTNew Technical based on analysis of HMTNew Technical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HMTNew Technical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HMTNew Technical's related companies.

Story Coverage note for HMTNew Technical

The number of cover stories for HMTNew Technical depends on current market conditions and HMTNew Technical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HMTNew Technical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HMTNew Technical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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HMTNew Technical Short Properties

HMTNew Technical's future price predictability will typically decrease when HMTNew Technical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HMTNew Technical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HMTNew Technical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HMTNew Technical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding326.1 M

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When running HMTNew Technical's price analysis, check to measure HMTNew Technical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HMTNew Technical is operating at the current time. Most of HMTNew Technical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HMTNew Technical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HMTNew Technical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HMTNew Technical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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