Caitong Securities (China) Price Prediction
| 601108 Stock | 8.32 0.04 0.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.096 | Wall Street Target Price 9.4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
Using Caitong Securities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caitong Securities Co from the perspective of Caitong Securities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Caitong Securities to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Caitong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Caitong Securities after-hype prediction price | CNY 8.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Caitong |
Caitong Securities After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Caitong Securities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caitong Securities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Caitong Securities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Caitong Securities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Caitong Securities' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caitong Securities' historical news coverage. Caitong Securities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.15 and 11.49, respectively. We have considered Caitong Securities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Caitong Securities is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caitong Securities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Caitong Securities Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Caitong Securities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caitong Securities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caitong Securities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 3.17 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.32 | 8.32 | 0.00 |
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Caitong Securities Hype Timeline
Caitong Securities is presently traded for 8.32on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.11. Caitong is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Caitong Securities is about 1246.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.43. About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Caitong Securities last dividend was issued on the 24th of December 2024. The entity had 1378:1315 split on the 12th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Caitong Securities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Caitong Securities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Caitong Securities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caitong Securities' future price movements. Getting to know how Caitong Securities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caitong Securities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 300804 | Yingde Greatchem Chemicals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.98 | 0.09 | 3.53 | (3.35) | 24.12 | |
| 603226 | Vohringer Home Technology | 0.54 | 1 per month | 2.74 | 0.22 | 6.71 | (4.31) | 17.25 | |
| 603709 | Zoy Home Furnishing | 0.13 | 1 per month | 3.05 | 0.16 | 4.59 | (4.10) | 17.40 | |
| 603326 | Nanjing OLO Home | 0.42 | 1 per month | 2.79 | 0.15 | 5.69 | (3.59) | 20.06 | |
| 002476 | Shandong Polymer Biochemicals | 0.05 | 1 per month | 2.81 | 0.12 | 6.83 | (5.23) | 16.23 | |
| 603389 | A Zenith Home Furnishings | (0.09) | 1 per month | 4.24 | 0.16 | 9.98 | (8.16) | 18.58 | |
| 002572 | Suofeiya Home Collection | 0.73 | 1 per month | 2.62 | 0.11 | 7.72 | (3.62) | 19.97 |
Caitong Securities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Caitong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caitong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caitong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Caitong Securities Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Caitong Securities stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Caitong Securities Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caitong Securities based on analysis of Caitong Securities hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Caitong Securities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Caitong Securities's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Caitong Securities
The number of cover stories for Caitong Securities depends on current market conditions and Caitong Securities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caitong Securities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caitong Securities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Caitong Securities Short Properties
Caitong Securities' future price predictability will typically decrease when Caitong Securities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caitong Securities Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Caitong Securities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caitong Securities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.6 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.6 B | |
| Shares Float | 3 B |
Complementary Tools for Caitong Stock analysis
When running Caitong Securities' price analysis, check to measure Caitong Securities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caitong Securities is operating at the current time. Most of Caitong Securities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caitong Securities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caitong Securities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caitong Securities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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