Tonghua Grape (China) Price Prediction
| 600365 Stock | 2.80 0.02 0.72% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 |
Using Tonghua Grape hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tonghua Grape Wine from the perspective of Tonghua Grape response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tonghua Grape to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tonghua because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tonghua Grape after-hype prediction price | CNY 2.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tonghua |
Tonghua Grape After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tonghua Grape at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tonghua Grape or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tonghua Grape, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tonghua Grape Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tonghua Grape's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tonghua Grape's historical news coverage. Tonghua Grape's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.86 and 4.74, respectively. We have considered Tonghua Grape's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tonghua Grape is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tonghua Grape Wine is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tonghua Grape Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tonghua Grape is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tonghua Grape backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tonghua Grape, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.95 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
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Tonghua Grape Hype Timeline
Tonghua Grape Wine is presently traded for 2.80on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Tonghua is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tonghua Grape is about 783.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.82. About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Tonghua Grape was presently reported as 0.71. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.08. Tonghua Grape Wine last dividend was issued on the 8th of July 2003. The entity had 20:10 split on the 26th of October 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Tonghua Grape Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tonghua Grape Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tonghua Grape's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tonghua Grape's future price movements. Getting to know how Tonghua Grape's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tonghua Grape may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 688233 | Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3.78 | (3.94) | 10.69 | |
| 688484 | Southchip Semiconductor Technology | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 4.20 | (4.32) | 10.70 | |
| 603697 | Youyou Foods Co | 0.25 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 3.05 | (4.11) | 11.78 | |
| 001219 | Qingdao Foods Co | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 5.14 | (4.76) | 11.62 | |
| 002991 | Gan Yuan Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4.62 | (4.08) | 16.57 | |
| 300046 | Hubei Tech Semiconductors | 1.33 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.84 | (5.96) | 17.78 | |
| 688432 | GRINM Semiconductor Materials | 0.42 | 3 per month | 2.10 | 0.05 | 2.79 | (3.91) | 19.24 | |
| 688498 | Yuanjie Semiconductor Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.82 | (6.73) | 20.85 |
Tonghua Grape Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tonghua price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tonghua using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tonghua charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tonghua Grape Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tonghua Grape stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tonghua Grape Wine, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tonghua Grape based on analysis of Tonghua Grape hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tonghua Grape's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tonghua Grape's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Tonghua Grape
The number of cover stories for Tonghua Grape depends on current market conditions and Tonghua Grape's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tonghua Grape is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tonghua Grape's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tonghua Grape Short Properties
Tonghua Grape's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tonghua Grape's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tonghua Grape Wine often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tonghua Grape's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tonghua Grape's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 427.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Tonghua Stock analysis
When running Tonghua Grape's price analysis, check to measure Tonghua Grape's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tonghua Grape is operating at the current time. Most of Tonghua Grape's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tonghua Grape's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tonghua Grape's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tonghua Grape to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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