State Grid (China) Price Prediction
| 600131 Stock | 20.38 0.41 1.97% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Wall Street Target Price 20.96 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using State Grid hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of State Grid InformationCommunication from the perspective of State Grid response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in State Grid to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying State because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
State Grid after-hype prediction price | CNY 20.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
State |
State Grid After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of State Grid at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in State Grid or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of State Grid, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
State Grid Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting State Grid's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on State Grid's historical news coverage. State Grid's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.83 and 22.95, respectively. We have considered State Grid's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
State Grid is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of State Grid Informati is based on 3 months time horizon.
State Grid Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as State Grid is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading State Grid backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with State Grid, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.56 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.38 | 20.39 | 0.05 |
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State Grid Hype Timeline
State Grid Informati is presently traded for 20.38on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. State is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.39 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on State Grid is about 3250.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.38. The company reported the revenue of 7.67 B. Net Income was 835.97 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.64 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out State Grid Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.State Grid Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to State Grid's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict State Grid's future price movements. Getting to know how State Grid's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how State Grid may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 300823 | Tjk Machinery Tianjin | 0.32 | 1 per month | 2.91 | 0.06 | 5.08 | (6.11) | 16.39 | |
| 601789 | Ningbo Construction Co | 0.42 | 3 per month | 3.25 | 0.16 | 10.02 | (5.38) | 20.03 | |
| 300343 | Lecron Energy Saving | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.93 | (4.05) | 11.86 | |
| 301298 | Baoding Dongli Machinery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | 0.09 | 2.94 | (3.71) | 8.98 | |
| 002152 | GRG Banking Equipment | 0.22 | 3 per month | 2.37 | 0.09 | 4.31 | (3.80) | 15.69 | |
| 000425 | XCMG Construction Machinery | (0.14) | 4 per month | 1.69 | 0.15 | 4.02 | (2.81) | 7.33 | |
| 601665 | Qilu Bank Co | (0.09) | 1 per month | 1.16 | 0.21 | 3.28 | (2.55) | 7.94 | |
| 603355 | Kingclean Electric Co | (0.10) | 1 per month | 1.52 | 0.18 | 3.94 | (2.91) | 7.97 |
State Grid Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine State price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for State using various technical indicators. When you analyze State charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About State Grid Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of State Grid stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as State Grid InformationCommunication, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of State Grid based on analysis of State Grid hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to State Grid's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to State Grid's related companies.
Story Coverage note for State Grid
The number of cover stories for State Grid depends on current market conditions and State Grid's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that State Grid is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about State Grid's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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State Grid Short Properties
State Grid's future price predictability will typically decrease when State Grid's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of State Grid InformationCommunication often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential State Grid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. State Grid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Complementary Tools for State Stock analysis
When running State Grid's price analysis, check to measure State Grid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy State Grid is operating at the current time. Most of State Grid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of State Grid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move State Grid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of State Grid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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