Poly Real (China) Price Prediction

600048 Stock   9.87  0.28  2.76%   
As of 10th of December 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Poly Real's share price is approaching 38. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Poly Real, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

38

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Poly Real's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Poly Real Estate, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Poly Real's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.62)
Wall Street Target Price
10.39
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.26
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.22)
Using Poly Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Poly Real Estate from the perspective of Poly Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Poly Real to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Poly because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Poly Real after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 9.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Poly Real Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.269.7213.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.369.8213.27
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Poly Real. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Poly Real's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Poly Real's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Poly Real Estate.

Poly Real After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Poly Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Poly Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Poly Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Poly Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Poly Real's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Poly Real's historical news coverage. Poly Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.46 and 13.38, respectively. We have considered Poly Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.87
9.92
After-hype Price
13.38
Upside
Poly Real is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Poly Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.

Poly Real Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Poly Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Poly Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Poly Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.54 
3.46
  0.05 
  0.09 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.87
9.92
0.51 
3,844  
Notes

Poly Real Hype Timeline

Poly Real Estate is presently traded for 9.87on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Poly is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.51%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Poly Real is about 2096.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.78. The company reported the revenue of 346.89 B. Net Income was 12.04 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.68 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Poly Real Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Poly Real Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Poly Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Poly Real's future price movements. Getting to know how Poly Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Poly Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Poly Real Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Poly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Poly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Poly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Poly Real Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Poly Real stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Poly Real Estate, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Poly Real based on analysis of Poly Real hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Poly Real's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Poly Real's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Poly Real

The number of cover stories for Poly Real depends on current market conditions and Poly Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Poly Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Poly Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Poly Real Short Properties

Poly Real's future price predictability will typically decrease when Poly Real's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Poly Real Estate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Poly Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Poly Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12 B

Complementary Tools for Poly Stock analysis

When running Poly Real's price analysis, check to measure Poly Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Poly Real is operating at the current time. Most of Poly Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Poly Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Poly Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Poly Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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