Shenzhen Kexin (China) Price Prediction

300565 Stock   12.38  0.89  6.71%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Shenzhen Kexin's share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shenzhen Kexin, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shenzhen Kexin's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shenzhen Kexin Communication, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shenzhen Kexin's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.28
Using Shenzhen Kexin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shenzhen Kexin Communication from the perspective of Shenzhen Kexin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shenzhen Kexin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shenzhen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shenzhen Kexin after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 12.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Shenzhen Kexin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.3810.7214.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shenzhen Kexin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shenzhen Kexin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shenzhen Kexin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shenzhen Kexin Commu.

Shenzhen Kexin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shenzhen Kexin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shenzhen Kexin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shenzhen Kexin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shenzhen Kexin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shenzhen Kexin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shenzhen Kexin's historical news coverage. Shenzhen Kexin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.96 and 15.64, respectively. We have considered Shenzhen Kexin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.38
12.30
After-hype Price
15.64
Upside
Shenzhen Kexin is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shenzhen Kexin Commu is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shenzhen Kexin Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shenzhen Kexin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shenzhen Kexin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shenzhen Kexin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
3.34
  0.08 
  0.08 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.38
12.30
0.65 
521.87  
Notes

Shenzhen Kexin Hype Timeline

Shenzhen Kexin Commu is presently traded for 12.38on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Shenzhen is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.65%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Shenzhen Kexin is about 554.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.46. About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Shenzhen Kexin was presently reported as 2.84. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.08. Shenzhen Kexin Commu last dividend was issued on the 4th of June 2018. The entity had 1.3:1 split on the 4th of June 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Shenzhen Kexin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shenzhen Kexin Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shenzhen Kexin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shenzhen Kexin's future price movements. Getting to know how Shenzhen Kexin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shenzhen Kexin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601168Western Mining Co(0.21)4 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.32 (2.81) 7.46 
601899Zijin Mining Group 0.11 4 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.47 (2.70) 7.27 
300293Shenyang Blue Silver 1.19 3 per month 0.00 (0.02) 4.40 (4.49) 10.63 
300565Shenzhen Kexin Communication(0.64)1 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.95 (5.65) 15.08 
301139Wintao Communications Co 4.46 1 per month 3.06  0.11  5.60 (4.69) 24.45 
000938Unisplendour Corp(0.74)3 per month 3.28  0.08  5.91 (5.81) 13.95 
002368Taiji Computer Corp 0.65 1 per month 3.01  0.01  5.14 (4.72) 16.56 
000997Fujian Newland Computer 0.00 0 per month 2.53  0.07  4.53 (4.63) 15.61 

Shenzhen Kexin Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shenzhen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shenzhen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shenzhen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shenzhen Kexin Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shenzhen Kexin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shenzhen Kexin Communication, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Kexin based on analysis of Shenzhen Kexin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shenzhen Kexin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shenzhen Kexin's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shenzhen Kexin

The number of cover stories for Shenzhen Kexin depends on current market conditions and Shenzhen Kexin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shenzhen Kexin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shenzhen Kexin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Shenzhen Kexin Short Properties

Shenzhen Kexin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shenzhen Kexin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shenzhen Kexin Communication often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shenzhen Kexin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenzhen Kexin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding208 M
Dividends Paid36.6 M
Shares Float204.1 M

Complementary Tools for Shenzhen Stock analysis

When running Shenzhen Kexin's price analysis, check to measure Shenzhen Kexin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shenzhen Kexin is operating at the current time. Most of Shenzhen Kexin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shenzhen Kexin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shenzhen Kexin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shenzhen Kexin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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