Lier Chemical (China) Price Prediction

002258 Stock   8.92  0.12  1.33%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Lier Chemical's share price is approaching 43. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lier Chemical, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lier Chemical's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lier Chemical Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lier Chemical's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.899
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.81
Wall Street Target Price
10.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.151
Using Lier Chemical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lier Chemical Co from the perspective of Lier Chemical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lier Chemical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lier because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lier Chemical after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 8.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lier Chemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.348.7210.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.200.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lier Chemical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lier Chemical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lier Chemical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lier Chemical.

Lier Chemical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lier Chemical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lier Chemical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lier Chemical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lier Chemical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lier Chemical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lier Chemical's historical news coverage. Lier Chemical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.55 and 10.31, respectively. We have considered Lier Chemical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.92
8.93
After-hype Price
10.31
Upside
Lier Chemical is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lier Chemical is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lier Chemical Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lier Chemical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lier Chemical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lier Chemical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.38
  0.01 
  0.04 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.92
8.93
0.11 
600.00  
Notes

Lier Chemical Hype Timeline

Lier Chemical is presently traded for 8.92on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Lier is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.93 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Lier Chemical is about 145.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.96. The company reported the revenue of 7.85 B. Net Income was 603.89 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 352.51 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Lier Chemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lier Chemical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lier Chemical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lier Chemical's future price movements. Getting to know how Lier Chemical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lier Chemical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002895Guizhou Chanhen Chemical 0.23 3 per month 2.00  0.09  2.15 (3.42) 9.67 
600423Liuzhou Chemical Industry 0.04 2 per month 3.96  0.08  10.00 (6.98) 20.15 
300777Sinofibers Technology Co 1.31 2 per month 1.75  0.25  4.45 (3.04) 10.38 
002909Guangzhou Jointas Chemical(0.02)2 per month 2.58  0.06  3.83 (3.55) 17.43 
688376MayAir Technology Co 1.45 1 per month 1.88  0.08  3.82 (3.36) 13.00 
603296HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD 4.44 5 per month 2.81  0.14  7.71 (4.32) 17.68 
300682Longshine Technology Co 0.14 2 per month 2.91  0.07  4.97 (5.06) 12.63 
000703Hengyi Petrochemical Co 0.02 1 per month 0.00  0.07  3.16 (2.24) 8.38 

Lier Chemical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lier Chemical Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lier Chemical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lier Chemical Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lier Chemical based on analysis of Lier Chemical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lier Chemical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lier Chemical's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Lier Chemical

The number of cover stories for Lier Chemical depends on current market conditions and Lier Chemical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lier Chemical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lier Chemical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Lier Chemical Short Properties

Lier Chemical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lier Chemical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lier Chemical Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lier Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lier Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding800.4 M

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When running Lier Chemical's price analysis, check to measure Lier Chemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lier Chemical is operating at the current time. Most of Lier Chemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lier Chemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lier Chemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lier Chemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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