Northern Lights Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

STENX Fund   27.12  0.21  0.77%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.64, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Northern Lights' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Lights is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Northern Lights has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.
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Building on the past, looking ahead - the Obama Foundation
02/10/2025
  

Northern Lights Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,923  in Northern Lights on December 17, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (211.00) from holding Northern Lights or give up 7.22% of portfolio value over 90 days. Northern Lights is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.8821% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Northern, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Lights is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.02 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Northern Lights Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
27.12
Please note that Northern Lights' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the fund is fairly valued. Northern Lights secures a last-minute Real Value of USD27.41 per share. The latest price of the fund is USD27.12. Our model forecasts the value of Northern Lights from analyzing the fund technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, investors recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Northern Lights is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Northern Mutual Fund. However, Northern Lights' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  27.12 Real  27.41 Hype  27.14 Naive  26.97
The intrinsic value of Northern Lights' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Northern Lights' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
27.41
Real Value
28.29
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Northern Lights helps investors to forecast how Northern mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Northern Lights more accurately as focusing exclusively on Northern Lights' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.7127.6928.66
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.2627.1428.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
26.0926.9727.85
Details

Northern Lights Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Lights' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Northern Lights, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Northern Lights' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1371

Best PortfolioBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
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CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative ReturnsSTENX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.88
  actual daily
7
93% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.12
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.14
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Northern Lights is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Northern Lights by adding Northern Lights to a well-diversified portfolio.

Northern Lights Fundamentals Growth

Northern Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northern Lights, and Northern Lights fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northern Mutual Fund performance.

About Northern Lights Performance

Evaluating Northern Lights' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Northern Lights has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Northern Lights has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in mutual funds and exchange-traded funds that primarily invest in domestic and international equities, including emerging markets. The fund can also invest in U.S. Treasury d, directly or through mutual funds and ETFs , ultra-short-term bond mutual funds and ETFs, and money market funds.

Things to note about Northern Lights performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Lights for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Northern Lights help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northern Lights generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments
Evaluating Northern Lights' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Northern Lights' mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Northern Lights' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Northern Lights' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Northern Lights' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Northern Lights' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Northern Lights' management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Northern Lights' mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Northern Lights' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Northern Lights' mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Northern Lights' mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Northern Mutual Fund

Northern Lights financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Lights security.
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