Correlation Between Oat Futures and Gold Futures

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Oat Futures and Gold Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Oat Futures and Gold Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Oat Futures and Gold Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Oat Futures and Gold Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Oat Futures with a short position of Gold Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Oat Futures and Gold Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for Oat Futures and Gold Futures

0.68

Correlation Coefficient

Oat Futures  Gold Futures

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Oat and Gold is 0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Oat Futures and Gold Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Gold Futures and Oat Futures is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Oat Futures are associated (or correlated) with Gold Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Gold Futures has no effect on the direction of Oat Futures i.e., Oat Futures and Gold Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Oat Futures and Gold Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Oat Futures is expected to generate 2.58 times more return on investment than Gold Futures. However, Oat Futures is 2.58 times more volatile than Gold Futures. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Gold Futures is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  34,950  in Oat Futures on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,125  from holding Oat Futures or generate 8.94% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	98.46%
Values	Daily Returns

Oat Futures  vs.  Gold Futures

Oat Futures

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oat Futures are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Oat Futures may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Gold Futures

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Gold Futures are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Gold Futures is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with Oat Futures and Gold Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Oat Futures and Gold Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Oat Futures position performs unexpectedly, Gold Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gold Futures will offset losses from the drop in Gold Futures' long position.

The idea behind Oat Futures and Gold Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.