Correlation Between Oat Futures and Cotton

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Oat Futures and Cotton at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Oat Futures and Cotton into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Oat Futures and Cotton, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Oat Futures and Cotton and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Oat Futures with a short position of Cotton. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Oat Futures and Cotton.

Diversification Opportunities for Oat Futures and Cotton

-0.67

Correlation Coefficient

Oat Futures  Cotton

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Oat and Cotton is -0.67. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Oat Futures and Cotton in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cotton and Oat Futures is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Oat Futures are associated (or correlated) with Cotton. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cotton has no effect on the direction of Oat Futures i.e., Oat Futures and Cotton go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Oat Futures and Cotton

Assuming the 90 days horizon Oat Futures is expected to generate 1.77 times more return on investment than Cotton. However, Oat Futures is 1.77 times more volatile than Cotton. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cotton is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  32,400  in Oat Futures on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,625  from holding Oat Futures or generate 8.1% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Oat Futures  vs.  Cotton

Oat Futures

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oat Futures are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Oat Futures may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Cotton

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Cotton has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Cotton is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Oat Futures and Cotton

The main advantage of trading using opposite Oat Futures and Cotton positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Oat Futures position performs unexpectedly, Cotton can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cotton will offset losses from the drop in Cotton's long position.

The idea behind Oat Futures and Cotton pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.