Correlation Between 10 Year and Cotton

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both 10 Year and Cotton at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining 10 Year and Cotton into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between 10 Year T Note Futures and Cotton, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on 10 Year and Cotton and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in 10 Year with a short position of Cotton. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of 10 Year and Cotton.

Diversification Opportunities for 10 Year and Cotton

-0.66

Correlation Coefficient

10 Year  Cotton

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between ZNUSD and Cotton is -0.66. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding 10 Year T Note Futures and Cotton in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cotton and 10 Year is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on 10 Year T Note Futures are associated (or correlated) with Cotton. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cotton has no effect on the direction of 10 Year i.e., 10 Year and Cotton go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between 10 Year and Cotton

Assuming the 90 days horizon 10 Year T Note Futures is expected to generate 0.3 times more return on investment than Cotton. However, 10 Year T Note Futures is 3.31 times less risky than Cotton. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cotton is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,897  in 10 Year T Note Futures on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  228.00  from holding 10 Year T Note Futures or generate 2.09% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

10 Year T Note Futures  vs.  Cotton

10 Year T

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in 10 Year T Note Futures are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, 10 Year is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Cotton

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Cotton has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Cotton is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with 10 Year and Cotton

The main advantage of trading using opposite 10 Year and Cotton positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if 10 Year position performs unexpectedly, Cotton can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cotton will offset losses from the drop in Cotton's long position.

The idea behind 10 Year T Note Futures and Cotton pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.