Correlation Between Five Year and Silver Futures

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Five Year and Silver Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Five Year and Silver Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Five Year Treasury Note and Silver Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Five Year and Silver Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Five Year with a short position of Silver Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Five Year and Silver Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for Five Year and Silver Futures

0.68
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Five and Silver is 0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Five Year Treasury Note and Silver Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Silver Futures and Five Year is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Five Year Treasury Note are associated (or correlated) with Silver Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Silver Futures has no effect on the direction of Five Year i.e., Five Year and Silver Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Five Year and Silver Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Five Year is expected to generate 11.36 times less return on investment than Silver Futures. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Five Year Treasury Note is 6.79 times less risky than Silver Futures. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Silver Futures is currently generating about 0.2 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,941  in Silver Futures on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  591.00  from holding Silver Futures or generate 20.1% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Five Year Treasury Note  vs.  Silver Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Five Year Treasury 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Five Year Treasury Note are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Five Year is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Silver Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Silver Futures are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Silver Futures exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Five Year and Silver Futures Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Five Year and Silver Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Five Year and Silver Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Five Year position performs unexpectedly, Silver Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Silver Futures will offset losses from the drop in Silver Futures' long position.
The idea behind Five Year Treasury Note and Silver Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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