Correlation Between 30 Year and Palladium

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both 30 Year and Palladium at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining 30 Year and Palladium into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between 30 Year Treasury and Palladium, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on 30 Year and Palladium and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in 30 Year with a short position of Palladium. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of 30 Year and Palladium.

Diversification Opportunities for 30 Year and Palladium

-0.06
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between ZBUSD and Palladium is -0.06. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding 30 Year Treasury and Palladium in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Palladium and 30 Year is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on 30 Year Treasury are associated (or correlated) with Palladium. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Palladium has no effect on the direction of 30 Year i.e., 30 Year and Palladium go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between 30 Year and Palladium

Assuming the 90 days horizon 30 Year is expected to generate 3.76 times less return on investment than Palladium. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, 30 Year Treasury is 3.4 times less risky than Palladium. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Palladium is currently generating about 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  90,110  in Palladium on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8,370  from holding Palladium or generate 9.29% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

30 Year Treasury  vs.  Palladium

 Performance 
       Timeline  
30 Year Treasury 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in 30 Year Treasury are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, 30 Year is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Palladium 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Palladium are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Palladium may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

30 Year and Palladium Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with 30 Year and Palladium

The main advantage of trading using opposite 30 Year and Palladium positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if 30 Year position performs unexpectedly, Palladium can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Palladium will offset losses from the drop in Palladium's long position.
The idea behind 30 Year Treasury and Palladium pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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