Correlation Between BMO Aggregate and Vanguard

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both BMO Aggregate and Vanguard at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining BMO Aggregate and Vanguard into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between BMO Aggregate Bond and Vanguard SP 500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on BMO Aggregate and Vanguard and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in BMO Aggregate with a short position of Vanguard. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of BMO Aggregate and Vanguard.

Diversification Opportunities for BMO Aggregate and Vanguard

0.14

Correlation Coefficient

BMO Aggregate  Vanguard

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between BMO and Vanguard is 0.14. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding BMO Aggregate Bond and Vanguard SP 500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard SP 500 and BMO Aggregate is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on BMO Aggregate Bond are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard SP 500 has no effect on the direction of BMO Aggregate i.e., BMO Aggregate and Vanguard go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between BMO Aggregate and Vanguard

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BMO Aggregate is expected to generate 22.81 times less return on investment than Vanguard. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, BMO Aggregate Bond is 1.89 times less risky than Vanguard. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard SP 500 is currently generating about 0.28 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  13,552  in Vanguard SP 500 on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,759  from holding Vanguard SP 500 or generate 12.98% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

BMO Aggregate Bond  vs.  Vanguard SP 500

BMO Aggregate Bond

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BMO Aggregate Bond are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy technical and fundamental indicators, BMO Aggregate is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard SP 500

Risk-Adjusted Performance

22 of 100

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard SP 500 are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Vanguard may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Pair Trading with BMO Aggregate and Vanguard

The main advantage of trading using opposite BMO Aggregate and Vanguard positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if BMO Aggregate position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard's long position.

The idea behind BMO Aggregate Bond and Vanguard SP 500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.