Correlation Between Exxon and TotalEnergies

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Exxon and TotalEnergies at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Exxon and TotalEnergies into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Exxon Mobil and TotalEnergies SE, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Exxon and TotalEnergies and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Exxon with a short position of TotalEnergies. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Exxon and TotalEnergies.

Diversification Opportunities for Exxon and TotalEnergies

0.87

Correlation Coefficient

Exxon  TotalEnergies

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Exxon and TotalEnergies is 0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Exxon Mobil and TotalEnergies SE in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on TotalEnergies SE and Exxon is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Exxon Mobil are associated (or correlated) with TotalEnergies. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of TotalEnergies SE has no effect on the direction of Exxon i.e., Exxon and TotalEnergies go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Exxon and TotalEnergies

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Exxon Mobil is expected to generate 0.51 times more return on investment than TotalEnergies. However, Exxon Mobil is 1.96 times less risky than TotalEnergies. It trades about -0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. TotalEnergies SE is currently generating about -0.31 per unit of risk. If you would invest  231,336  in Exxon Mobil on October 5, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (10,036) from holding Exxon Mobil or give up 4.34% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	95.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Exxon Mobil  vs.  TotalEnergies SE

Exxon Mobil

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Exxon Mobil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's primary indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

TotalEnergies SE

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days TotalEnergies SE has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Pair Trading with Exxon and TotalEnergies

The main advantage of trading using opposite Exxon and TotalEnergies positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Exxon position performs unexpectedly, TotalEnergies can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TotalEnergies will offset losses from the drop in TotalEnergies' long position.

The idea behind Exxon Mobil and TotalEnergies SE pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.