Correlation Between Western Forest and Conifex Timber

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Western Forest and Conifex Timber at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Western Forest and Conifex Timber into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Western Forest Products and Conifex Timber, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Western Forest and Conifex Timber and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Western Forest with a short position of Conifex Timber. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Western Forest and Conifex Timber.

Diversification Opportunities for Western Forest and Conifex Timber

0.52

Correlation Coefficient

Western Forest  Conifex Timber

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Western and Conifex is 0.52. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Western Forest Products and Conifex Timber in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Conifex Timber and Western Forest is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Western Forest Products are associated (or correlated) with Conifex Timber. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Conifex Timber has no effect on the direction of Western Forest i.e., Western Forest and Conifex Timber go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Western Forest and Conifex Timber

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Western Forest Products is expected to generate 0.68 times more return on investment than Conifex Timber. However, Western Forest Products is 1.47 times less risky than Conifex Timber. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Conifex Timber is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  45.00  in Western Forest Products on November 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2.00  from holding Western Forest Products or generate 4.44% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Western Forest Products  vs.  Conifex Timber

Western Forest Products

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Western Forest Products are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Western Forest may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.

Conifex Timber

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Conifex Timber has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

Pair Trading with Western Forest and Conifex Timber

The main advantage of trading using opposite Western Forest and Conifex Timber positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Western Forest position performs unexpectedly, Conifex Timber can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Conifex Timber will offset losses from the drop in Conifex Timber's long position.

The idea behind Western Forest Products and Conifex Timber pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.