Correlation Between Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Short-term

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Short-term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Short-term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Long Term Treasury and Vanguard Short Term Treasury, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Short-term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Long-term with a short position of Vanguard Short-term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Short-term.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Short-term

0.87
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is 0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Long Term Treasury and Vanguard Short Term Treasury in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Short Term and Vanguard Long-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Long Term Treasury are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Short-term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Short Term has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Long-term i.e., Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Short-term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Short-term

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Long Term Treasury is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Short-term. In addition to that, Vanguard Long-term is 5.76 times more volatile than Vanguard Short Term Treasury. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Short Term Treasury is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  985.00  in Vanguard Short Term Treasury on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (2.00) from holding Vanguard Short Term Treasury or give up 0.2% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Long Term Treasury  vs.  Vanguard Short Term Treasury

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Long Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Long Term Treasury has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Long-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Vanguard Short Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Short Term Treasury has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Short-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Short-term Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Short-term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Short-term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Long-term position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Short-term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Short-term will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Short-term's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Long Term Treasury and Vanguard Short Term Treasury pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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