Correlation Between Vanguard Total and ProShares UltraShort

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Total and ProShares UltraShort at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Total and ProShares UltraShort into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Total Stock and ProShares UltraShort SP500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Total and ProShares UltraShort and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Total with a short position of ProShares UltraShort. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Total and ProShares UltraShort.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Total and ProShares UltraShort

-0.94

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard Total  ProShares UltraShort

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and ProShares is -0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Total Stock and ProShares UltraShort SP500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraShort and Vanguard Total is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Total Stock are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraShort. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraShort has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Total i.e., Vanguard Total and ProShares UltraShort go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Total and ProShares UltraShort

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard Total Stock is expected to under-perform the ProShares UltraShort. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vanguard Total Stock is 1.95 times less risky than ProShares UltraShort. The etf trades about -0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The ProShares UltraShort SP500 is currently generating about 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,928  in ProShares UltraShort SP500 on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  245.00  from holding ProShares UltraShort SP500 or generate 12.71% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard Total Stock  vs.  ProShares UltraShort SP500

Vanguard Total Stock

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Vanguard Total Stock has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

ProShares UltraShort

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares UltraShort SP500 are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unsteady fundamental indicators, ProShares UltraShort unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Vanguard Total and ProShares UltraShort

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Total and ProShares UltraShort positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Total position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraShort can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraShort will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraShort's long position.

The idea behind Vanguard Total Stock and ProShares UltraShort SP500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.