Correlation Between Vanguard Index and Direxion Shares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Index and Direxion Shares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Index and Direxion Shares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Index Funds and Direxion Shares ETF, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Index and Direxion Shares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Index with a short position of Direxion Shares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Index and Direxion Shares.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Index and Direxion Shares

0.84
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Direxion is 0.84. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Index Funds and Direxion Shares ETF in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Direxion Shares ETF and Vanguard Index is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Index Funds are associated (or correlated) with Direxion Shares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Direxion Shares ETF has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Index i.e., Vanguard Index and Direxion Shares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Index and Direxion Shares

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vanguard Index is expected to generate 1.4 times less return on investment than Direxion Shares. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard Index Funds is 3.74 times less risky than Direxion Shares. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Direxion Shares ETF is currently generating about 0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  15,108  in Direxion Shares ETF on October 7, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,392  from holding Direxion Shares ETF or generate 22.45% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Index Funds  vs.  Direxion Shares ETF

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Index Funds 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Index Funds are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating forward indicators, Vanguard Index may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.
Direxion Shares ETF 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direxion Shares ETF are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Direxion Shares showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Vanguard Index and Direxion Shares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Index and Direxion Shares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Index and Direxion Shares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Index position performs unexpectedly, Direxion Shares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direxion Shares will offset losses from the drop in Direxion Shares' long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Index Funds and Direxion Shares ETF pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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