Correlation Between Vanguard Intermediate and Government Securities

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Intermediate and Government Securities at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Intermediate and Government Securities into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Intermediate Term Government and Government Securities Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Intermediate and Government Securities and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Intermediate with a short position of Government Securities. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Intermediate and Government Securities.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Intermediate and Government Securities

0.37
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Government is 0.37. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Intermediate Term Gov and Government Securities Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Government Securities and Vanguard Intermediate is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Intermediate Term Government are associated (or correlated) with Government Securities. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Government Securities has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Intermediate i.e., Vanguard Intermediate and Government Securities go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Intermediate and Government Securities

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Intermediate Term Government is expected to under-perform the Government Securities. In addition to that, Vanguard Intermediate is 1.1 times more volatile than Government Securities Fund. It trades about -0.31 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Government Securities Fund is currently generating about -0.33 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  886.00  in Government Securities Fund on October 5, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (13.00) from holding Government Securities Fund or give up 1.47% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Intermediate Term Gov  vs.  Government Securities Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Intermediate 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Intermediate Term Government has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Vanguard Intermediate is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Government Securities 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Government Securities Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Government Securities is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Intermediate and Government Securities Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Intermediate and Government Securities

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Intermediate and Government Securities positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Intermediate position performs unexpectedly, Government Securities can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Government Securities will offset losses from the drop in Government Securities' long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Intermediate Term Government and Government Securities Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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