Correlation Between Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Long-term

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Long-term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Long-term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Short Term Federal and Vanguard Long Term Treasury, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Long-term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Short-term with a short position of Vanguard Long-term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Long-term.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Long-term

0.87

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard Short-term  Vanguard Long-term

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is 0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Short Term Federal and Vanguard Long Term Treasury in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Long Term and Vanguard Short-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Short Term Federal are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Long-term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Long Term has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Short-term i.e., Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Long-term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Long-term

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Short Term Federal is expected to generate 0.17 times more return on investment than Vanguard Long-term. However, Vanguard Short Term Federal is 5.76 times less risky than Vanguard Long-term. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Long Term Treasury is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,017  in Vanguard Short Term Federal on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1.00  from holding Vanguard Short Term Federal or generate 0.1% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard Short Term Federal  vs.  Vanguard Long Term Treasury

Vanguard Short Term

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Vanguard Short Term Federal has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental drivers, Vanguard Short-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Long Term

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Vanguard Long Term Treasury has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Long-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Long-term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Long-term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Short-term position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Long-term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Long-term will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Long-term's long position.

The idea behind Vanguard Short Term Federal and Vanguard Long Term Treasury pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.