Correlation Between Vanguard USD and SP 500

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard USD and SP 500 at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard USD and SP 500 into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard USD Corporate and SP 500 VIX, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard USD and SP 500 and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard USD with a short position of SP 500. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard USD and SP 500.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard USD and SP 500

-0.4

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard USD  SP 500

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and VILX is -0.4. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard USD Corporate and SP 500 VIX in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SP 500 VIX and Vanguard USD is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard USD Corporate are associated (or correlated) with SP 500. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SP 500 VIX has no effect on the direction of Vanguard USD i.e., Vanguard USD and SP 500 go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard USD and SP 500

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vanguard USD Corporate is expected to under-perform the SP 500. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vanguard USD Corporate is 18.89 times less risky than SP 500. The etf trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The SP 500 VIX is currently generating about 0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  186,620  in SP 500 VIX on December 23, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (20,514) from holding SP 500 VIX or give up 10.99% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard USD Corporate  vs.  SP 500 VIX

Vanguard USD Corporate

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Vanguard USD Corporate has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Vanguard USD is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

SP 500 VIX

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SP 500 VIX are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, SP 500 may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Pair Trading with Vanguard USD and SP 500

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard USD and SP 500 positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard USD position performs unexpectedly, SP 500 can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SP 500 will offset losses from the drop in SP 500's long position.

The idea behind Vanguard USD Corporate and SP 500 VIX pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.