Correlation Between Vanguard and First Trust

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard SP 500 and First Trust Dow, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard and First Trust

0.96
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and First is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard SP 500 and First Trust Dow in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust Dow and Vanguard is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard SP 500 are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust Dow has no effect on the direction of Vanguard i.e., Vanguard and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard and First Trust

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard is expected to generate 3.11 times less return on investment than First Trust. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard SP 500 is 2.67 times less risky than First Trust. It trades about 0.4 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Trust Dow is currently generating about 0.47 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  23,078  in First Trust Dow on September 16, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,338  from holding First Trust Dow or generate 10.13% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard SP 500  vs.  First Trust Dow

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard SP 500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard SP 500 are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very inconsistent basic indicators, Vanguard may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
First Trust Dow 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

26 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Dow are ranked lower than 26 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very inconsistent fundamental indicators, First Trust displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Vanguard and First Trust Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard SP 500 and First Trust Dow pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

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