Correlation Between Vanguard Mid-cap and Large Cap

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Mid-cap and Large Cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Mid-cap and Large Cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Mid Cap Index and Large Cap Value, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Mid-cap and Large Cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Mid-cap with a short position of Large Cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Mid-cap and Large Cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Mid-cap and Large Cap

0.78
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Large is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Mid Cap Index and Large Cap Value in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Large Cap Value and Vanguard Mid-cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Mid Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with Large Cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Large Cap Value has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Mid-cap i.e., Vanguard Mid-cap and Large Cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Mid-cap and Large Cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Mid Cap Index is expected to generate 0.4 times more return on investment than Large Cap. However, Vanguard Mid Cap Index is 2.52 times less risky than Large Cap. It trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Large Cap Value is currently generating about -0.12 per unit of risk. If you would invest  38,094  in Vanguard Mid Cap Index on December 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,599) from holding Vanguard Mid Cap Index or give up 4.2% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Mid Cap Index  vs.  Large Cap Value

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Mid Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Mid Cap Index has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Mid-cap is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Large Cap Value 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Large Cap Value has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.

Vanguard Mid-cap and Large Cap Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Mid-cap and Large Cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Mid-cap and Large Cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Mid-cap position performs unexpectedly, Large Cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Large Cap will offset losses from the drop in Large Cap's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Mid Cap Index and Large Cap Value pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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