Correlation Between Vanguard Global and Third Avenue

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Global and Third Avenue at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Global and Third Avenue into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Global Ex Us and Third Avenue Real, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Global and Third Avenue and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Global with a short position of Third Avenue. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Global and Third Avenue.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Global and Third Avenue

0.28
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Third is 0.28. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Global Ex Us and Third Avenue Real in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Third Avenue Real and Vanguard Global is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Global Ex Us are associated (or correlated) with Third Avenue. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Third Avenue Real has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Global i.e., Vanguard Global and Third Avenue go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Global and Third Avenue

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Global Ex Us is expected to under-perform the Third Avenue. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vanguard Global Ex Us is 1.54 times less risky than Third Avenue. The mutual fund trades about -0.3 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Third Avenue Real is currently generating about -0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,394  in Third Avenue Real on October 7, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (61.00) from holding Third Avenue Real or give up 2.55% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Global Ex Us  vs.  Third Avenue Real

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Global Ex 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Global Ex Us has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
Third Avenue Real 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Third Avenue Real has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Third Avenue is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Global and Third Avenue Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Global and Third Avenue

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Global and Third Avenue positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Global position performs unexpectedly, Third Avenue can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Third Avenue will offset losses from the drop in Third Avenue's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Global Ex Us and Third Avenue Real pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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