Correlation Between Vanguard MSCI and SPDR SP

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard MSCI and SPDR SP at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard MSCI and SPDR SP into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard MSCI International and SPDR SP 500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard MSCI and SPDR SP and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard MSCI with a short position of SPDR SP. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard MSCI and SPDR SP.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard MSCI and SPDR SP

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and SPDR is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard MSCI International and SPDR SP 500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR SP 500 and Vanguard MSCI is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard MSCI International are associated (or correlated) with SPDR SP. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR SP 500 has no effect on the direction of Vanguard MSCI i.e., Vanguard MSCI and SPDR SP go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard MSCI and SPDR SP

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vanguard MSCI International is expected to generate 1.2 times more return on investment than SPDR SP. However, Vanguard MSCI is 1.2 times more volatile than SPDR SP 500. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR SP 500 is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,616  in Vanguard MSCI International on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (219.00) from holding Vanguard MSCI International or give up 2.06% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard MSCI International  vs.  SPDR SP 500

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard MSCI Intern 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard MSCI International has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Vanguard MSCI is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.
SPDR SP 500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days SPDR SP 500 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, SPDR SP is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

Vanguard MSCI and SPDR SP Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard MSCI and SPDR SP

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard MSCI and SPDR SP positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard MSCI position performs unexpectedly, SPDR SP can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR SP will offset losses from the drop in SPDR SP's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard MSCI International and SPDR SP 500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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