Correlation Between Vanguard 500 and Direxion Monthly

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard 500 and Direxion Monthly at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard 500 and Direxion Monthly into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard 500 Index and Direxion Monthly Small, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard 500 and Direxion Monthly and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard 500 with a short position of Direxion Monthly. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard 500 and Direxion Monthly.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard 500 and Direxion Monthly

0.92

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard 500  Direxion Monthly

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Direxion is 0.92. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard 500 Index and Direxion Monthly Small in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Direxion Monthly Small and Vanguard 500 is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard 500 Index are associated (or correlated) with Direxion Monthly. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Direxion Monthly Small has no effect on the direction of Vanguard 500 i.e., Vanguard 500 and Direxion Monthly go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard 500 and Direxion Monthly

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard 500 is expected to generate 2.39 times less return on investment than Direxion Monthly. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard 500 Index is 3.02 times less risky than Direxion Monthly. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Direxion Monthly Small is currently generating about 0.16 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  8,204  in Direxion Monthly Small on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,859  from holding Direxion Monthly Small or generate 22.66% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard 500 Index  vs.  Direxion Monthly Small

Vanguard 500 Index

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard 500 Index are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard 500 may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Direxion Monthly Small

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direxion Monthly Small are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak essential indicators, Direxion Monthly showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Vanguard 500 and Direxion Monthly

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard 500 and Direxion Monthly positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard 500 position performs unexpectedly, Direxion Monthly can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direxion Monthly will offset losses from the drop in Direxion Monthly's long position.

The idea behind Vanguard 500 Index and Direxion Monthly Small pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.