Correlation Between Vanguard 500 and Arrow Managed

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard 500 and Arrow Managed at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard 500 and Arrow Managed into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard 500 Index and Arrow Managed Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard 500 and Arrow Managed and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard 500 with a short position of Arrow Managed. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard 500 and Arrow Managed.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard 500 and Arrow Managed

0.65
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Arrow is 0.65. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard 500 Index and Arrow Managed Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Arrow Managed Futures and Vanguard 500 is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard 500 Index are associated (or correlated) with Arrow Managed. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Arrow Managed Futures has no effect on the direction of Vanguard 500 i.e., Vanguard 500 and Arrow Managed go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard 500 and Arrow Managed

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard 500 Index is expected to under-perform the Arrow Managed. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vanguard 500 Index is 1.58 times less risky than Arrow Managed. The mutual fund trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Arrow Managed Futures is currently generating about -0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  573.00  in Arrow Managed Futures on December 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (12.00) from holding Arrow Managed Futures or give up 2.09% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy98.33%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard 500 Index  vs.  Arrow Managed Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard 500 Index 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard 500 Index has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard 500 is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Arrow Managed Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Arrow Managed Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Arrow Managed is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard 500 and Arrow Managed Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard 500 and Arrow Managed

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard 500 and Arrow Managed positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard 500 position performs unexpectedly, Arrow Managed can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arrow Managed will offset losses from the drop in Arrow Managed's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard 500 Index and Arrow Managed Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

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