Correlation Between Vanguard Short and Moderate Duration

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Short and Moderate Duration at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Short and Moderate Duration into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Short Term Bond and Moderate Duration Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Short and Moderate Duration and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Short with a short position of Moderate Duration. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Short and Moderate Duration.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Short and Moderate Duration

-0.42
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Moderate is -0.42. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Short Term Bond and Moderate Duration Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Moderate Duration and Vanguard Short is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Short Term Bond are associated (or correlated) with Moderate Duration. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Moderate Duration has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Short i.e., Vanguard Short and Moderate Duration go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Short and Moderate Duration

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Short is expected to generate 1.46 times less return on investment than Moderate Duration. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard Short Term Bond is 1.26 times less risky than Moderate Duration. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Moderate Duration Fund is currently generating about 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  902.00  in Moderate Duration Fund on September 17, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  83.00  from holding Moderate Duration Fund or generate 9.2% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy88.28%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Short Term Bond  vs.  Moderate Duration Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Short Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Short Term Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Short is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Moderate Duration 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Moderate Duration Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental drivers, Moderate Duration is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Short and Moderate Duration Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Short and Moderate Duration

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Short and Moderate Duration positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Short position performs unexpectedly, Moderate Duration can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Moderate Duration will offset losses from the drop in Moderate Duration's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Short Term Bond and Moderate Duration Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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