Correlation Between Virginia National and Citizens Northern

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Virginia National and Citizens Northern at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Virginia National and Citizens Northern into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Virginia National Bankshares and Citizens Northern Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Virginia National and Citizens Northern and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Virginia National with a short position of Citizens Northern. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Virginia National and Citizens Northern.

Diversification Opportunities for Virginia National and Citizens Northern

0.2

Correlation Coefficient

Virginia National  Citizens Northern

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Virginia and Citizens is 0.2. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Virginia National Bankshares and Citizens Northern Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Citizens Northern Corp and Virginia National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Virginia National Bankshares are associated (or correlated) with Citizens Northern. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Citizens Northern Corp has no effect on the direction of Virginia National i.e., Virginia National and Citizens Northern go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Virginia National and Citizens Northern

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Virginia National Bankshares is expected to under-perform the Citizens Northern. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Virginia National Bankshares is 1.21 times less risky than Citizens Northern. The stock trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Citizens Northern Corp is currently generating about 0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,817  in Citizens Northern Corp on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  200.00  from holding Citizens Northern Corp or generate 11.01% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Virginia National Bankshares  vs.  Citizens Northern Corp

Virginia National

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Virginia National Bankshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Virginia National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Citizens Northern Corp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Citizens Northern Corp are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Citizens Northern may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Pair Trading with Virginia National and Citizens Northern

The main advantage of trading using opposite Virginia National and Citizens Northern positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Virginia National position performs unexpectedly, Citizens Northern can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Citizens Northern will offset losses from the drop in Citizens Northern's long position.

The idea behind Virginia National Bankshares and Citizens Northern Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.