Correlation Between ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Ultra VIX and Direxion Daily SP, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Ultra with a short position of Direxion Daily. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily

0.2

Correlation Coefficient

ProShares Ultra  Direxion Daily

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and Direxion is 0.2. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Ultra VIX and Direxion Daily SP in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Direxion Daily SP and ProShares Ultra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Ultra VIX are associated (or correlated) with Direxion Daily. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Direxion Daily SP has no effect on the direction of ProShares Ultra i.e., ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ProShares Ultra VIX is expected to under-perform the Direxion Daily. In addition to that, ProShares Ultra is 1.18 times more volatile than Direxion Daily SP. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Direxion Daily SP is currently generating about 0.1 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  543.00  in Direxion Daily SP on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  128.00  from holding Direxion Daily SP or generate 23.57% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

ProShares Ultra VIX  vs.  Direxion Daily SP

ProShares Ultra VIX

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days ProShares Ultra VIX has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the ETF investors.

Direxion Daily SP

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direxion Daily SP are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain fundamental drivers, Direxion Daily exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, Direxion Daily can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direxion Daily will offset losses from the drop in Direxion Daily's long position.

The idea behind ProShares Ultra VIX and Direxion Daily SP pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.