Correlation Between US Treasury and Dow Jones

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both US Treasury and Dow Jones at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining US Treasury and Dow Jones into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between US Treasury 30 and Dow Jones Industrial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on US Treasury and Dow Jones and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in US Treasury with a short position of Dow Jones. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of US Treasury and Dow Jones.

Diversification Opportunities for US Treasury and Dow Jones

0.25

Correlation Coefficient

US Treasury  Dow Jones

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between UTHY and Dow is 0.25. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding US Treasury 30 and Dow Jones Industrial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Dow Jones Industrial and US Treasury is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on US Treasury 30 are associated (or correlated) with Dow Jones. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Dow Jones Industrial has no effect on the direction of US Treasury i.e., US Treasury and Dow Jones go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between US Treasury and Dow Jones

Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Treasury 30 is expected to under-perform the Dow Jones. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, US Treasury 30 is 1.2 times less risky than Dow Jones. The etf trades about -0.51 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating about -0.21 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,414,856  in Dow Jones Industrial on October 12, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (151,336) from holding Dow Jones Industrial or give up 3.43% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	95.24%
Values	Daily Returns

US Treasury 30  vs.  Dow Jones Industrial

Pair Trading with US Treasury and Dow Jones

The main advantage of trading using opposite US Treasury and Dow Jones positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if US Treasury position performs unexpectedly, Dow Jones can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dow Jones will offset losses from the drop in Dow Jones' long position.

The idea behind US Treasury 30 and Dow Jones Industrial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.