Correlation Between United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in United Therapeutics with a short position of Ultragenyx. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx.

Diversification Opportunities for United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between United and Ultragenyx is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultragenyx and United Therapeutics is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on United Therapeutics are associated (or correlated) with Ultragenyx. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultragenyx has no effect on the direction of United Therapeutics i.e., United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx

Given the investment horizon of 90 days United Therapeutics is expected to under-perform the Ultragenyx. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, United Therapeutics is 1.07 times less risky than Ultragenyx. The stock trades about -0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Ultragenyx is currently generating about -0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,227  in Ultragenyx on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (445.00) from holding Ultragenyx or give up 10.53% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

United Therapeutics  vs.  Ultragenyx

 Performance 
       Timeline  
United Therapeutics 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days United Therapeutics has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors.
Ultragenyx 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ultragenyx has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders.

United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx

The main advantage of trading using opposite United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if United Therapeutics position performs unexpectedly, Ultragenyx can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultragenyx will offset losses from the drop in Ultragenyx's long position.
The idea behind United Therapeutics and Ultragenyx pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

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