Correlation Between ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Ultra Semiconductors and SPDR Gold Shares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Ultra with a short position of SPDR Gold. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold

-0.71

Correlation Coefficient

ProShares Ultra  SPDR Gold

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and SPDR is -0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Ultra Semiconductors and SPDR Gold Shares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR Gold Shares and ProShares Ultra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Ultra Semiconductors are associated (or correlated) with SPDR Gold. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR Gold Shares has no effect on the direction of ProShares Ultra i.e., ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Ultra Semiconductors is expected to under-perform the SPDR Gold. In addition to that, ProShares Ultra is 8.05 times more volatile than SPDR Gold Shares. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR Gold Shares is currently generating about 0.34 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  24,063  in SPDR Gold Shares on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,343  from holding SPDR Gold Shares or generate 18.05% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

ProShares Ultra Semiconductors  vs.  SPDR Gold Shares

ProShares Ultra Semi

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days ProShares Ultra Semiconductors has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders.

SPDR Gold Shares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR Gold Shares are ranked lower than 27 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather abnormal essential indicators, SPDR Gold exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Ultra and SPDR Gold positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, SPDR Gold can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR Gold will offset losses from the drop in SPDR Gold's long position.

The idea behind ProShares Ultra Semiconductors and SPDR Gold Shares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.