Correlation Between UPP and EM

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both UPP and EM at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining UPP and EM into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between UPP and EM, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on UPP and EM and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in UPP with a short position of EM. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of UPP and EM.

Diversification Opportunities for UPP and EM

0.0

Correlation Coefficient

UPP  EM

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between UPP and EM is 0.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding UPP and EM in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on EM and UPP is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on UPP are associated (or correlated) with EM. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of EM has no effect on the direction of UPP i.e., UPP and EM go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between UPP and EM

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UPP is expected to generate 1.43 times more return on investment than EM. However, UPP is 1.43 times more volatile than EM. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. EM is currently generating about -0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  7.41  in UPP on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1.48  from holding UPP or generate 19.97% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Flat
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

UPP  vs.  EM

UPP

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in UPP are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, UPP exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

EM

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days EM has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, EM is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with UPP and EM

The main advantage of trading using opposite UPP and EM positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if UPP position performs unexpectedly, EM can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in EM will offset losses from the drop in EM's long position.

The idea behind UPP and EM pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.